Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prediction Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 202.5 | 96% |
| O/U 204.5 | 95% |
| O/U 206.5 | 94% |
| O/U 208.5 | 94% |
| O/U 210.5 | 93% |
| O/U 212.5 | 91% |
| O/U 214.5 | 88% |
| 76ers O/U 112.5 | 86% |
| O/U 216.5 | 84% |
| O/U 218.5 | 82% |
| Bucks O/U 100.5 | 81% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| 76ers O/U 114.5 | 80% |
| O/U 220.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 77% |
| Spread -4.5 | 76% |
| Bucks O/U 102.5 | 76% |
| O/U 222.5 | 75% |
| 76ers O/U 116.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 73% |
| O/U 224.5 | 72% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 71% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| Bucks O/U 104.5 | 70% |
| O/U 226.5 | 69% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 69% |
| 76ers O/U 118.5 | 68% |
| Spread -7.5 | 67% |
| O/U 228.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| Bucks O/U 106.5 | 64% |
| Spread -8.5 | 63% |
| 76ers O/U 120.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 60% |
| O/U 230.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 59% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 58% |
| Bucks O/U 108.5 | 58% |
| Spread -10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 232.5 | 56% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 76ers O/U 122.5 | 56% |
| Spread -11.5 | 55% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 55% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Bucks O/U 98.5 | 53% |
| O/U 234.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| Bucks O/U 110.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 49% |
| 76ers O/U 124.5 | 49% |
| O/U 236.5 | 48% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| 76ers O/U 136.5 | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 45% |
| Bucks O/U 112.5 | 45% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 34.5 | 43% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 39.5 | 43% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 24.5 | 43% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 43% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 43% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 43% |
| O/U 238.5 | 42% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Spread -15.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 39% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 39% |
| Bucks O/U 114.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| O/U 240.5 | 38% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| Bucks O/U 116.5 | 35% |
| O/U 242.5 | 34% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 34% |
| Spread -18.5 | 33% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 76ers O/U 130.5 | 30% |
| O/U 244.5 | 29% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 28% |
| Bucks O/U 118.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| O/U 246.5 | 26% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| O/U 248.5 | 24% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5 | 24% |
| 76ers O/U 132.5 | 24% |
| Spread -22.5 | 23% |
| 1H Moneyline | 23% |
| Bucks O/U 120.5 | 23% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| O/U 250.5 | 21% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 21% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 18% |
| Bucks O/U 122.5 | 18% |
| 76ers O/U 134.5 | 18% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 16% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 16% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5 | 15% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 14% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Spread -28.5 | 12% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 12% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -30.5 | 9% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 9% |
| Spread -5.5 | 8% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 7% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -38.5 | 4% |
| Spread -40.5 | 4% |
| Spread -11.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 96% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Bucks vs. 76ers. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30PM ET: If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, t…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $155K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Prediction Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prediction Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prediction Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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