Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prediction Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 97% |
| O/U 25.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| O/U 27.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 93% |
| Vikings O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 29.5 | 91% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 87% |
| O/U 31.5 | 86% |
| Vikings O/U 14.5 | 85% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 81% |
| O/U 34.5 | 81% |
| Packers O/U 14.5 | 81% |
| O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 6.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 79% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Vikings O/U 17.5 | 75% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| O/U 37.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 71% |
| O/U 38.5 | 71% |
| Vikings O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| Packers O/U 17.5 | 70% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 69% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| O/U 40.5 | 66% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| Vikings O/U 20.5 | 63% |
| O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| O/U 42.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| Vikings O/U 12.5 | 61% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 59% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 44.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 2H Moneyline | 53% |
| Packers 1H O/U 8.5 | 53% |
| Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| Vikings O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Safety? | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Vikings O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 21+ | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Packers vs. Vikings: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 14-20 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| O/U 46.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 25+ | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 19-24 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 13-18 | 48% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-12 | 48% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 48% |
| Packers 1H O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Vikings O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 46% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| Packers vs. Vikings | 45% |
| O/U 47.5 | 45% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 42% |
| O/U 48.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 41% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| O/U 49.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Vikings O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 50.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| O/U 51.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| O/U 52.5 | 32% |
| Vikings O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 29% |
| O/U 53.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Vikings O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| O/U 54.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 25% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 24% |
| Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| O/U 55.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Vikings O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| O/U 57.5 | 21% |
| Packers O/U 29.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 56.5 | 21% |
| Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| Spread -21.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| O/U 58.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| O/U 59.5 | 15% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| O/U 61.5 | 12% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 62.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 20.5 | 12% |
| O/U 63.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| O/U 64.5 | 8% |
| O/U 65.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 97% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Packers vs. Vikings. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25PM ET: If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers". If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If the game is postpone…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $119K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Packers vs. Vikings über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prediction Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prediction Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
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