Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Prediction Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
82% | 18% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
82% | 18% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Auf Polymarket ansehen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Clippers O/U 97.5 | 82% |
| Clippers O/U 98.5 | 80% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 78% |
| Lakers O/U 108.5 | 77% |
| Clippers O/U 99.5 | 76% |
| Spread -1.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 75% |
| Lakers O/U 109.5 | 75% |
| Spread -2.5 | 71% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 53.5 | 69% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 48.5 | 69% |
| Clippers O/U 102.5 | 69% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 5.5 | 68% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| Clippers O/U 103.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 9.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 63% |
| Lakers O/U 113.5 | 63% |
| Clippers O/U 104.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 62% |
| Lakers O/U 114.5 | 61% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 55.5 | 60% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 50.5 | 60% |
| Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| O/U 222.5 | 57% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5 | 57% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 57.5 | 53% |
| Clippers O/U 107.5 | 53% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Walker Kessler: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Keaton Wagler: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -9.5 | 48% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 226.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 118.5 | 47% |
| O/U 227.5 | 46% |
| Clippers O/U 109.5 | 46% |
| O/U 228.5 | 45% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 45% |
| Spread -10.5 | 44% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| O/U 229.5 | 44% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Lakers O/U 119.5 | 43% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 42% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 41% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 54.5 | 41% |
| O/U 231.5 | 40% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 40% |
| Keaton Wagler: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 59.5 | 40% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 39% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Spread -12.5 | 38% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Clippers O/U 112.5 | 37% |
| Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 36% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| O/U 233.5 | 34% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Clippers O/U 113.5 | 34% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 61.5 | 33% |
| O/U 234.5 | 32% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Lakers O/U 123.5 | 32% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 56.5 | 32% |
| Spread -15.5 | 31% |
| Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 22.5 | 30% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Clippers O/U 114.5 | 30% |
| O/U 236.5 | 28% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5 | 28% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 25.5 | 28% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| 1H Moneyline | 28% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Lakers O/U 124.5 | 27% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| O/U 238.5 | 25% |
| O/U 239.5 | 25% |
| Keaton Wagler: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Keaton Wagler: Assists O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | 24% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 44.5 | 23% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 23% |
| Spread -18.5 | 22% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5 | 22% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5 | 22% |
| O/U 241.5 | 21% |
| Walker Kessler: Assists O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 39.5 | 21% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 20% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Clippers O/U 118.5 | 20% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 49.5 | 18% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Lakers O/U 128.5 | 18% |
| Clippers O/U 119.5 | 18% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| O/U 244.5 | 16% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| O/U 247.5 | 14% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Lakers O/U 129.5 | 14% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 39.5 | 13% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5 | 13% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 13% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 250.5 | 10% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Spread -9.5 | 7% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
Markt-Kontext
Clippers vs. Lakers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 24% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-24T02:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $182K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Clippers vs. Lakers über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Prediction Wetten, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Prediction Wetten. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Prediction Wetten ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Clippers vs. Lakers" auf Prediction Wetten handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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